Monday, February 6, 2017

UWFPS 2017 daily cold-air pool forecast valid Monday 02/06/2017 10:00 MST (10:00 am local time)

Summary: Windy with showers likely through Tuesday nightA break period on Wednesday into Thursday.  Another major rain storm Friday now extends into Saturday. Forecast models continue to show a weak inversion setting up across northern Utah on Sunday and Monday  12 and 13 February

Tuesday 7 February:

80% chance of showers, rainfall up to 0.50". Windy. Southwest winds at 30 knots at 500 m AGL.
Wednesday 8 February:

Potential flight day, particularly in afternoon and into overnight hours (60% chance of showers in morning, 30% in afternoon). Winds will be more favorable (weaker) than Thursday.

Visibility: no restrictions expected.
Winds: 10 knots southerly to southwesterly across the area on Wednesday afternoon.  Increasing to 15 kts in the Salt Lake Valley Wednesday night, around 10 knots elsewhere. 

Thursday 9 February:

Potential flight day. Partly cloudy.  Southwest winds increasing to 30 knots by afternoon into evening ahead of Friday storm system.

Visibility: no restrictions expected.
Winds: 20 knots southerly to southwesterly across the area on Thursday mid-day.  Increasing to 30 kts in the Salt Lake Valley Wednesday night, around 20 knots elsewhere. 
Friday 10 February: 

Rainfall likely, up to 1.00" total rainfall.  Northwest winds 10-20 knots.

Saturday 11 February: 

Rain or rain/snow mix likely in the morning.

Sunday 12 February - Tuesday 14 February:

Weak inversion conditions forecast at this time with light winds and potential 
for some minor pollutant build-up in boundary-layer starting Sunday night. Pattern uncertain with closed low over Arizona and ridge over northern Utah. Stay tuned.   

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